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                                  Lehman disaster will damage UK house prices

                                  Wednesday 17th September 2008

                                  Last night economists predicted that Lehman Brothers’ recent bankruptcy will have a serious effect on house prices as banks restrict lending.

                                   

                                  Both economic analysts Global Insight and Capital Economics confirmed that house prices will continue dropping, especially amongst the current financial turmoil we’re experiencing with the failure of major US banks.

                                   

                                  The Government’s index has reported that house prices have fallen 0.3% since July 2007. However these figures clash with those of Nationwide Building Society index, which calculated a 10.5% fall in house prices over the year. Howard Archer from Global Insight put these discrepancies down to the Government’s index lagging that of Nationwide as it was based on completed mortgages.

                                   

                                  Archer, along with other economic experts, has warned that banks will reduce risk and lending volume due to the financial market troubles raising the cost of interbank borrowing.

                                   

                                  Along with increasing levels of unemployment, these aspects will force house prices to drop quickly as people will have no choice but to sell their houses at deep discounts.

                                   

                                  Property economist Seema Shah from Capital Economics commented, ‘Recent events in the financial markets and the likely fall-out on the wider economy, which is already tipping into recession, are set to weigh heavily on buyer confidence. We expect house prices to continue heading south for many months yet.’

                                   

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